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Reply to "Pediatric COVID hospitalizations reports thread"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]TheHill.com August 19 2021 As child hospitalizations rise, leaders must act now https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/568290-as-child-hospitalizations-rise-leaders-must-act-now 2000+ US children are being hospitalized for COVID every week, a rate rising rapidly. CDC: [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E9Ji7vaXMAA7NA9?format=jpg&name=medium [/img][/quote] those are admissions with covid - not FOR covid. [/quote] While that's true, that's been the case all along. The rate of serious COVID hospitalizations will track with that. So it is troubling. [b]Though, people need to understand what is does and doesn't mean. There's no evidence that cases are more likely to be serious in kids. We're seeing an increase in cases in kids, but the rate of hospitalizations per case has not significantly changed.[/b][b] If only we had an effective treatment to prevent serious illness in kids... Though, apparently Jeff doesn't like people talking about the pediatric vaccine trials, given he deleted the other thread criticizing the FDA.[/quote] This is true (at least based on the data we see right now). But it is not helpful when assessing risk. Risk is the probability of something happening multiples by the severity of the outcome. So the severity doesn’t change, but if you are much more likely to contract COVID (for example if you are unvaccinated in schools with no mitigation strategies), your risk of bad outcomes also goes up. The FDA and everyone else should be considering risk to the population not just severity on a case by case basis. [/quote] While this is true, the risk to healthy kids is overwhelmingly driven by the severity, or lack thereof. So yes, a 5x increase in cases would still roughly mean a 5x increase in risk, but it's still a small risk because severity is so low.[/quote]
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