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Reply to "Post your electoral map prediction!"
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[quote=Anonymous]I think Biden realistically has a spread from about a 278 worst case scenario to a feasible ceiling of 351. I think the Dems will make Texas competitive--already have--but I'm not comfortable putting it ultimately in the win category for them. I'm also not sure if they can actually pull off a Georgia win. Since the switch happened (aka Southern states stopped going Democratic) in about 1968, Georgia has gone blue 3 times: 1976: D+36 <-- Carter 1980: D+15 <-- Carter 1992: D+1 <-- Clinton Both are obviously from the South; Carter is obviously from GA. Texas has gone blue once since 1968: 1976: D+4, Carter These two states have NEVER gone blue without a candidate from the south. Clinton got Texas close (R+3 in 92 and R+5 in 96) but he couldn't pull off the win. So while it's not impossible, it would be an unprecedented feat for a guy from PA/Delaware to win those states. [/quote]
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