Reply to Allegedly there are several options for the fall none of which include being back full time?

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Reply to "Allegedly there are several options for the fall none of which include being back full time?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The year with the highest pediatric flu mortality in the US was 09-10 (H1N1) and there were still only 282 deaths. No idea where parents on here got the idea fact the flu kills “thousands of children every year”. It does not. Usually somewhere around 100, total.

COVID has killed over 100,000 people with the strictest mitigation policies in place that we have seen in our lifetimes. You are very dense if you don’t see how the two are different. Closing schools is about preventing community spread, not about saving Sebastian and Avery. [/quote]

OK let me correct myself. While the mortality rate on children may not be thousands and thousands, it is on the order of one thousand according to CDC's mathematical models that account for the underreporting of flu-related deaths in children. Also 61,000 people in US (reported cases) died because of flu in 2017-18 season. I didn't research the full history, but I understand some years may be less, some years it may be more. On the other hand, around the globe the mortality rate due to Covid-19 dropped significantly after its initial phase. I'm not saying Covid-19 is no big deal. What I'm saying, on the other hand, is benefit vs risk mitigation should make sense. Shutting down the entire school system for months creates a whole lot more problems in my opinion compared to any risk mitigation gains.[/quote]
You can’t just compared mortality rates (whatever they may be) between flu and COVID. The population as a whole has a lot more immunity to flu, and none at all to COVID. What % gets flu each year? I’d guess it’s under 10%. 100% of people are susceptible to COVID.

And somewhere along the way in this thread, we’ve lost cause and effect reasoning. Someone said if we don’t have a resurgence by fall, we should go back to school. That sound like the people complaining that a big spike was predicted in spring, but it didn’t happen, so we shouldn’t have locked down. Um, no. Because we locked down, we didn’t have a big spike. If we do not go back to school, we should prevent a resurgence. If we do go back to school, then there will be a spike. Disease transmission happens really quickly in schools, (I teach HS - and just watch the waves go through after Thanksgiving and Christmas travel) no reason to think COVID will be different.[/quote]

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