Reply to This is a blue state bug (for now at least)

Forum Index » Political Discussion

Reply to "This is a blue state bug (for now at least)"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote]It would be great to see numbers that show the change in testing rates, for each state, as well.[/quote]

Losing control (at least temporarily): 
NE: 47.490% 
Positive test 11-12% and overall test rate 899.190 per 100k people (national rate 1322.345 per 100k)

IA: 46.772%
Positive test 13% or so and test rate 895.194 per 100k

ND: 46.244% 
Positive test 4-5% or so and test rate 2045.634 per 100k

OH: 44.811%
Positive test 16% or so and test rate 838.371

RI: 39.582%
Positive test 17% or so and test rate 3938.412

SD: 37.137% 
Positive test 15% or so and test rate 1448.581

DE: 37.063% 
Positive test 19% or so and test rate 1699.899 
(NB Sussex county seems to be harder hit than New Castle County - this is a rural outbreak here)

VA: 36.684%
Positive test 17% or so and test rate 712.060

KS: 35.520%
Positive test 12% or so and test rate 655.645

Gaining control (at least temporarily, but both states are testing extensively): 
LA: 13.093% 
Positive test rate about 14% and test rates well north of the average (3047.5 vs 1322.345 tests per 100k)

WA: 12.678% 
Positive test rate 8% and overall test rates of 1942.943 per 100k

ID: 11.931%
ID has a positive test rate ~10% and a test rate a bit below the average (1012.340 vs 1322.345)

HI: 10.473%
HI has a positive test rate ~2% and a test rate above the average (1861.891)

MT: 7.973%
MT: positive test rate ~4% and a test rate slightly below the average (but with that low of a positive test rate it may not be needed) (1083.761)

VT: 7.776%
VT: positive rate ~6% and a test rate well above the average (2157.410)

Now I claim zilch about a state's ability to handle a surge in need for testing. MD with its 500k test kids on the way might be able to launch a useful trace + test routine and pull off what WA and LA have been pulling.

But I'm somewhat worried about states with low test rates and high growth trajectories. States with low positive test rates and low growth are probably fully legit.

Also a higher test rate probably means more SBD carriers are "caught" - if say my wife gets sick and in one state only she gets tested - in another state maybe me + the whole family - in yet another me + the whole family + my officemate + the other four members of my six-person team (I'm still going in). Lower test rates mean there's a higher # of SBD (silent but deadly) folks running around.

No way of knowing whether the COVID 19 variant A is harmless but gives protection against COVID 19 variant B or if variant A just means one variant B virus shows up and you're dead. Ideally if 19a gives you immunity against the other members of the family this might make vaccine production easy peasy as you just need to grow something already there as opposed to fashion entirely new molecules, antibodies, etc. (I stand to be corrected here.)

It does seem the preponderance of evidence is that there are numerous variants but not sure of how that affects vaccine production or if we'll need to focus on the deadliest variants, similar to how flu vaccines differ year over year. [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics