Reply to Public/Charter School Lottery Experience

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Reply to "Public/Charter School Lottery Experience"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Some people get their top 3 choice. That’s the lottery. [b]You mainly hear from those that didn’t in this forum.[/b] But statistically speaking, some people are bound to get a terrific master number. Pray you’re one of them. And if it doesn’t happen one year, try the next. Have a back up plan you feel comfortable with and don’t worry about the rest. [/quote]

This argument insinuates that the impression that it is unlikely to get into a top choice is created by the self-selection of DCUM posters and wrong. That is absolutely misleading. Whether posters self-select in this way or not, it is a statistical fact that it is very unlikely for someone entering the lottery without preferences to get into one of the most popular charters. If the number of people who are getting one of their top choices seems high, it is because they chose their IB or because they have sibling preference.[/quote]

This. I would love to see the statistic for people trying to get into schools without any preference. I’m sure it’s quite low. [/quote]

It's pretty low for PK3, but higher for PK4 for various reasons.

It's also important to note that while many people get into one of their top 3 choices, many people have in their top 3 choices a school that is not actually hard for them to get into.  If their older child is at a school they like, their younger child is 99% of the time going to get in, and they would rank it first if it were their true #1 preference.  And some people aren't planning to stick around in DC so they don't care about middle school or even upper elementary and just pick a nice preschool with a short commute.  [/quote]

Agreed. The statistics the MySchoolDC folks like to tout about people matching at top choices really makes it seem like folks with no preferences have a decent shot. And that’s not the case for most schools. [/quote]

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