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[quote=Anonymous] Search for a race or candidate State Results Updates President Live Forecast Senate House Results Timing LIVE Last updated 9:30 p.m. E.T. Live Presidential Forecast Our election model estimates the outcome of the race in real time based on polling data, the votes reported so far and what we expect from remaining votes. Read how it works › Chance of winning Leaning Trump 69% chance of victory Very likely Likely Lean Tossup Lean Likely Very likely Electoral college estimate Trump 287 225 to 341 Harris 251 197 to 313 Range of estimates 340 320 300 280 280 300 320 340 ’20 ’16 Popular vote estimate Harris +0.4 Harris +7 to Trump +6 Range of estimates +8 +6 +4 +2 +2 +4 +6 +8 Updated 10m ago Nate Cohn Chief political analyst For the first time tonight, our estimates indicate that the race leans toward Mr. Trump. Which states will decide the election? These seven states, which account for 93 electoral college votes, are likely to decide the winner of the election. Harris needs 44 of these battleground electoral votes to win the election, assuming both candidates win all of the states where polls show them with significant leads. Trump needs 51. Wis. 10 Even Mich. 15 53% R Pa. 19 electoral votesE.V. 54% R Current most likely tipping point state Nev. 6 54% R Ariz. 11 69% R N.C. 16 79% R Ga. 16 81% R Updated 9m ago Nate Cohn Chief political analyst Trump is a narrow but clear favorite to win Georgia and North Carolina. If he does carry those states, Harris would probably need to sweep Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to win — a real possibility, but a tall order nonetheless. We have very little data from those states, and it will be a long time until we do. Live forecast by state As votes are counted in each state, our model adjusts its estimates in other areas with similar demographics and voting history. Select a state to see detailed results and estimates. Key House Races Race Percent of votes inVotes in NYT win probabilityNYT win prob. NYT estimate of final voteNYT est. of final vote N.J. 54% Harris D +11 Neb. 2 43% 85% Harris D +7.3 Maine 2% 87% Harris D +7.2 N.M. 12% 78% Harris D +5.6 Va. 62% 89% Harris D +4.7 Minn. <1% 72% Harris D +4.5 N.H. 39% 84% Harris D +4.1 Wis. 17% Even R +0.1 Mich. 13% 53% Trump R +0.4 Pa. 28% 54% Trump R +0.5 Nev. 0% 54% Trump R +0.9 Ga. 77% 81% Trump R +2.3 N.C. 55% 79% Trump R +3.2 Ariz. 0% 69% Trump R +3.7 + Show all states[/quote]
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