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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Worst case scenario, Ukrainians simply melt back across the border with hundreds of POWs and captured equipment. And Russia is now forced to deploy significant forces to defend the border. Putin looks weak. The Russian people - particularly the 100,000 that have now fled - are finally made aware there's a war going on. And some of the pressure on places like Chaviv Yar, New York, and Vovchansk is removed because Russians are forced to redeploy to defend Russia itself.

Everything beyond that is gravy.

But I have the feeling there's more to come. Ukrainians have now taken more than 1000 sq km of Russia. For comparison, it took Russia 6 months and more than 100,000 casualties to take Bahkmut and Adviivka and expand their hold by a mere 200 sq km. And General Syrskyi is very good with deception and mobile warfare. The UAF has the advantage when it's on the move. And Russia itself is wide open for maneuvers - no minefields, no dialed in artillery, no trenches. It's a different war in Russia, one that suits Ukrainians.    [/quote]

As far as we can tell, there have been minimal rotations by Russia, and other fronts continue to crumble. The UAF is also taking massive casualties on this operation. They simply don't have the logistics to sustain a deep push. Its apparent this is a bust now, but just like the "Counter Offensive" of last year, they will grind on long past the point of futility.

Speaking of which, imagine if they pulled this last year instead of tossing their army away? That might have actually been something to worry about. [/quote]

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