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Reply to "A thread of optimism: why do you think Trump will win in 2020?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous] https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065 Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625 [quote]Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show: President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent; Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent; Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent; Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent; Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent; Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent. In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters. Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters. "The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. [/quote][/quote] Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.[/quote] I'm sure you do! My take is that we've been watching Biden for four decades now and we're pretty aware of who he is. And in that context, this is a totally small potatoes story. The main takeaway is that he's developing a plan to deal with climate change. [/quote] Before or after Greenpeace graded him with a D :-)[/quote] Yeah. There's stuff to attack him on. The thing is that just like we knew Trump was a gross creepy racist grifter and you didn't really care when you cast that vote because none of it came as a surprise - here, we're dealing with a known entity. A flawed guy with a checkered history who is outpolling Trump in Texas.[/quote] This is interesting. So your bet is that Biden can out-Trump Trump. I doubt it. I see zero reason why folks who didn't show up at the polls for Hillary in 2016 should magically show up for Biden in 2020. He's the same or worse. And I doubt independents will choose the insider who has done little in 50 years over the incumbent who at least is delivering peace and a booming economy. But, only time will tell :-) [/quote] Oh, no, definitely not out Trump Trump - Trump is a unique figure. (At least I hope.) What I mean is that he's got a long public history. So the stuff that people who hate him are freaking out about - we've already considered it and decided it's NBD. I do not think that Biden has done anything nearly as bad as Trump. Jesus. No. And I think he is a much better human being. But I think we've already accounted for him being awful to Anita Hill, and sometimes plagiarizing stuff, and being kind of dopey in what he says, and that sort of thing. He's not some new on the scene guy who we're just getting to know - he's not a Mayor Pete, where we learn who he is, fall in love, and there's the risk we'll learn something new and fall out of love. (I hope not - Mayor Pete seems like a good dude.) We know Biden already. We know what he's crappy at and what he's got in his history. There's always the possibility of being surprised - but this stuff you're trying to attack him with, it's built into his ratings already. Like imagine how well he'd be doing right now if he hadn't sniffed that woman's hair, and hadn't been a real sh*t to Anita Hill.[/quote] Peace? Not for the minorities and jews who are targeted by hate crimes and it has increased significantly since 2016. https://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2019/apr/03/hate-crimes-are-increasingly-reported-us/ The economy is continuing the same below 3% trend of Obama years. Where is the promised 4%?[/quote] What are crazy Dem Mayors and crazy Dems doing in so many cities to drive up hate crimes? Because it's Dem cities driving the problem. According to the link you provided... "The cities that recorded decade-high hate crimes include Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Philadelphia, Dallas, Austin, San Francisco, Fort Worth, Seattle, Washington, D.C., Louisville, Sacramento, Miami, New Orleans, and Cleveland." How many of those cities have a Dem Mayor? I bet at least 70% of them.[/quote] Nice try, you can't claim whatever good things that happen during the same time NO MATTER WHETHER TRUMP HAS A ROLE OR NOT(the economy is on auto pilot). And then NOT accept the bad things that happens during the very same time. This "precedent" is merely a twitter ranter, liar and tantrum thrower. THE ENTIRE COUNTRY IS ON AUTO PILOT.[/quote] Nice try. Why do dems kill other dems so often in democratic run cities? Answer: the republicans are all armed.[/quote] Yes the armed republicans go and kill minorities or jews. If not they are involved mass shootings. or in most cases they just kill themselves. None of which is something to be proud of. A nation proud of being armed with weapons and not armed with best education is a nation on a decline and internal strife.[/quote] WTH is this post? Seriously, pp. Read what you wrote. This is an insane post. [/quote]
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