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Reply to "US coronavirus cases top 10,000 and on the same or worse curve than Italy"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Today, April 25, 35,000+ new cases and 2000+ deaths. The good news is we are testing a lot more than a few days ago. The positivity rate actually dropped a little to 18%. Still many places have not peaked yet, and the downward curve is not the steep bell shape we had hoped. If that holds, we will be seeing 100,000+ deaths in total by August. USA 960,525 +35,293 54,248 +2,055 [quote]But descents look much slower than ascents[/quote] [twitter]https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1254134874929332224[/twitter] [/quote] August? Try May.[/quote] I am hoping next week we will start seeing some downward slope. It is unlikely we will keep this pace of 2000 deaths per day for the next three weeks. But there is a risk of 2nd wave if we open up too soon and too widely.[/quote] The above post was from April 26. PP predicted a month ago we would see 100,000 deaths by the end of May. We doubled our death toll in a month. We are at 95,000 deaths and 1.6 million total as of now.[/quote] Daily death tolls, as well as daily infections, are declining....while testing is increasing.[/quote] Yes they are declining. But they are declining very slowly. None of the states met the CDC re-opening guideline. We did not see the sharp drop-off as some other countries did.[/quote]
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