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Reply to "Nate Silver has a new prediction"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Instead of cherry-picking the poll you like best, why don't you at least cite RealClearPolitics, which tracks most of the major, established, respected polls? The gist of the data at RCP is that the race is closer than you you have attempted to claim.[/quote] Nate Silver aggregates many polls just like RCP, but runs it through a model to predict the outcome. The prediction is not about what the final vote percentages will be, but the probability that Clinton or Trump will win. This is not cherry picking. Silver's model picked the winner of 99 out of 100 state contests in the last 2 elections.[/quote]
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