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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think people are not having as many children, nationwide, in general.[/quote]

It depends.  Recent projection was that within ~10 years over 40% of HS grads in the U.S. will have Hispanic background.   However all children born in the Americas will be outnumbered 10:1 by the children born in India and China.  Locally there will not be any low enrollment numbers, as long as Arlington builds more and more condos and apartments.  Doesn’t matter whom they’re geared to, there are many single parents with kids moving in, especially if they’re subsidized.[/quote]

A lot of people who live in single family homes think no one with a family would live in an apartment, but we know many, many families that do. And they are market rate apartments. These are people that could buy a single family further out, but choose to live in Arlington in an apartment.[/quote]

Interesting. I don't believe APS factors market rate apartments and condos into their enrollment projections. In the past, few if any families with kids lived in those buildings, since they were not developed nor marketed for families. And, many townhouse developments along the Orange Line have 2 bedrooms (the large ones have 3) and were never marketed for families. [/quote]

They did several years back for a new building going up near VA Square. 
[/quote]

I believe they use a percentage for multifamily that is much lower than single family home neighborhoods. It’s a funny mismatch bc the County pushes multi family at all costs and the school district likes to pretend that it’s all single family homes. [/quote]

They use different rates for different schools and types of housing since any given unit of market rate multifamily is going to be far less likely to have a school age child than any given unit of Committed Affordable (CAF) housing or a single family home. If you are at a school like Innovation or ASFS you are still going to know a lot of people who live in market rate buildings just because there are so many of them in the zone.

https://www.apsva.us/wp-content/uploads/sites/57/2026/01/StudentGenerationRates_2025-SGR-2025.pdf

It sounds like some of the posters here are at ASFS, which is over capacity once again because many people move into the apartments zoned there vs elsewhere based on reputation of the school and the fact it has Science in the name. [/quote]

This is interesting that they track this data. Is it what they use when they are planning future generation though? I thought they just used a basic % based on housing type. Do they tie it to the individual school boundaries?[/quote]

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