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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Updates from most recent GFS and ECMWF model forecast: snow storm is hitting us Saturday night through Sunday. It's heavy snow and then possibly freezing rain as we sit right around the freezing line. If this is indeed the case, it's going to be a nightmare for travel. [/quote]

+1 thank you for sharing

As a layperson I was confused to see the prediction for wintry mix/freezing rain given the temps are going to be so low. Can you elaborate on why we will get freezing rain if temps in the 20s and teens?[/quote]
dp. If the storm trends north, our temperatures will rise and mix precip and sleet will fall. The temperatures will drop again and everything will freeze.[/quote]
NP A mid-layer of warmer air may get pulled in from the Atlantic by the intensifying low to our north. Then snow from the upper layers, melts some as it passes through a warmer layer, they refreezes closer to the ground forming sleet or freezing rain.
https://justinweather.com/2026/01/21/how-the-weekend-winter-storm-may-become-miller-b-type-and-turn-heavy-snow-to-ice/

I've been following Justin Berk out of Baltimore for 15 years. He really does a good job with explaining models and predicting actual snowfall for central Maryland. Better than forecasts out of DC for the "metro area".[/quote]

PP that shared the recent GFS forecast. Thanks for helping me clarify. Just got off a full-day meeting and ready to head to homedepot (hopefully they haven't run out of shovels and salt!)[/quote]

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