Reply to T20 undergraduate population vs # of available 99th percentile students

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There are roughly 2 million SAT takers and 1.4 million ACT takers.  A proportion take both. 
 
Assuming there are 3 million test takers. 1% yields 30,000 who are in the 99th percentile.

With superscoring, that number at least doubles, so one is looking at 60,000 students scoring in the 99th percentile.[/quote]

The number from a 2022 Common App report:

76,747 students applied to college with ACT/SAT scores >1500 (99%
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2021-22:
7.6 mil applications from 1.2 mil applicants (roughly 6 applications per applicant on avg)

applicant SAT/ACT >1500 ~ 645000 (~6% of applicants)

so # of T20 seats (unhooked)~ 0.5* 2000*20 ~20000 seats.  ( 50% reduced to account for 20% INt, 30% ur/donor/hooked)

so % of unhooked / total T20 seats available ~20000/ 450000 (no of applicants reduced by 30% to account for Int/urm/donor/hooked but not proportionally assuming success rate of ~70% for  urm/hooked/donor, iNt rates reduced proportionally)

so % of unhooked/total T20 seats available =5%

so give and take that % is in the range of 5-20% (say). So Score>1500 alone does not cut it for T20 and we know it///

now apply the constraint: full pay (can be afforded by 90% net worth families)

Voila, the fog lifts !!!!

[/quote]

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