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[quote=Anonymous]Full disclosure: I’m not a Cardinal, not even a non-voting cardinal, so this is some rando’s highly speculative opinion.

The next Pope must be absolutely clean of any connection to the sex abuse scandals. Morally and practically, that would be a disaster for the Church.     -Points to younger candidates and rule out US candidates.

The next Pope must excel at diplomacy without shrinking from commitment. He must be a uniter of the faithful in a polarized world, exhibiting strength against the secular will of authoritarians lest the Church cede power to governments. The instability of the world is a pastoral crisis and an opportunity. The next Pope must offer stability. This too argues for a younger candidate (I do not think this is the time for a stopgap)
-Rule out the most “left” Grech, probably Zeppi 
-Rule out all the Africans and other “hard right”  Erdo, Eijk

Parolin and Tagle are the top of everyone’s lists and tick the boxes. Parolin has an advantage in knowing more of the other Cardinals and having their respect. Tagle has the edge in charisma. Tagle is acknowledgement of the expanding non-Western Church. Theologically they are both quite similar to Francis, although not identical.

Aveline has a real chance- a uniter, moderate/liberal, European but came from Algeria.

A very long shot, Pizzaballa. Stunning leadership in the Holy Land, but only 60. Sacrificial, diplomatic, scholarly, and beloved by Francis. Although I think a younger Pope is in the cards, I don’t know if they will go for someone just two years older than JPII at the time of his election. But also, stability.

And then there are the ones no one is talking about.

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