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[quote=Anonymous]
OP again.

Time for a little lesson on the alternative metrics of hurricane impact. It's a way to measure potential damage to life and property. The Saffir-Simpson scale (hurricane categories) is notoriously bad at predicting damage.

Enter IKE, or Integrated Kinetic Energy: it's a number that represents ocean surface stress, generating waves and surge, while also taking into account structural wind loading and the spatial coverage of the wind.

Now for Milton's IKE measure. Right now it has an IKE of 24 TJ. It is predicted to intensify to 70 TJ just prior to landfall.

For point of comparison, Hurricane Rita, the strongest Gulf hurricane ever recorded, was thought to be at 30 TJ (theoretically, since the IKE measures were introduced 2 years later). Rita generated a storm surge of 18 ft near landfall. Evacuations were haphazard and deadly, which is noteworthy considered evacuations from Milton are also problematic as we speak. Evacuations are always, in times of crises, an underestimated problem.

Stay tuned for a potential sub-900mb barometric pressure measure with the recon flight currently in the hurricane.
If it verifies, it would be the first time an Atlantic hurricane has reached such low pressures twice in its development. Yesterday, Milton reached 899mb. Tonight, we'll see.

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