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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Too close to call at this point. Obama has the advantage, but it is really going to come down to turnout in a few key states. [b] I think Florida likely goes R [/b], and it comes down to the ground game in Ohio. [/quote] And I think you are out of touch with Florida. My parents are lifelong Republicans who have lived in Florida for 29 years. And they and their friends are all worried about Ryan on the Republican ticket. The number of Floridians who rely on a a lot of butter programs for more than 50% of their basic living needs is huge. Also, the number of Baby Boomers who are about to retire or have just recently retired and moved down to Florida is growing steadily. I think selecting Ryan essentially gave away Florida. While many seniors and Floridians agree philosophically with the Republican party and ticket, many of them cannot afford to vote Republican now.[/quote] We'll see, I guess. If you are right, Romney is toast. I find it hard to believe that this was not something that was exhaustively considered before the Ryan pick, as it is an obvious issue---Romney's not stupid, and unlike McCain he seems to actually want to win---but if picking Ryan costs Romney Florida it is a blunder of epic proportions. I think there is a lot of wishful thinking in the Dem predictions on this point, though. Should be an interesting fall. [/quote]
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