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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]As the incumbent, if Trump doesn't win at least 70% of the vote from Republicans who bother to show up for the primary, he's seriously underperforming. [/quote] +1 “Donald Trump has a problem no matter what happens in New Hampshire tonight: There’s a whole swath of the Republican electorate and a good chunk of independents who appear firmly committed to not voting for him in November if he becomes the nominee.” https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/23/trump-moderate-republicans-problem-00137112[/quote] That's what the polls (which are tightening anyway) don't reflect. Trump very likely has a GOTV problem this fall. There are not nearly enough MAGA (who will sit home in large numbers anyway because they've been conditioned to not believe in elections) to carry him alone.[/quote]
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