Reply to Are there neighborhoods that you believe will spiral in the next ten or twenty years?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]In NoVa, if you look at areas that spiraled over a 10-20 year period, it's been areas like Herndon with housing that wasn't great to begin with.  So I'd say the areas at most risk would be areas with a lot of multi-family housing like Centreville that could decline if the Asian population moved further west or an area like West Springfield that already has less expensive single-family homes. Or maybe the cheapest parts of Ashburn that are starting to show their age.  
[/quote]

A bad commute is the biggest red flag. That's what killed Woodbridge. If the commute is reasonable, old housing stock is torn down[/quote]

Good point. I avoid driving on I-95 south of DC at all costs. Which is why I think the inner suburbs of MoCo (SS, Takoma Park, Bethesda) will do just fine.  Kensington has it's own MARC Line.  The commute from eastern/southern MoCo to DC is very reasonable.

Also, I don't see Arlington declining.[/quote]

Not sure why I'd assume all the inner suburbs of MoCo will do just fine.  Some aren't great now and it's not like all the inner suburbs of PG are doing so great, either.  [/quote]

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