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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I am going to give some tough love here.  He isn’t that impressive.  He doesn’t impress with intelligence or vision.  And regardless of his nickname, he is a rich white boy who went to a posh boarding school.  I think the party should learn from Virginia.  By now, the Democratic Party needs to offer something other than a rich white guy if it is going to succeed in convincing people it is the party of diversity.[/quote]

I am OP - and I agree in some ways. But I don't think Beto is a McAuliffe clone in any way. McAuliffe seemed tired and out of ideas. He's old, he's a Clinton buddy. He just seems like someone whose time has passed. I think Beto is more energetic and engaged (and he's younger). He's actually been out doing voter outreach for the last few years - not doing whatever McAuliffe was doing between terms.

I don't know if he's the guy. His presidential run suggests that he's not quite as compelling as he might once have seemed. But I don't think he's just some rich white guy who thinks he can walk into office because of course he can. [/quote]

I’m not saying he is a clone of Terry.  But among moderates, the similarities between McAuliffe and Youngkin in terms of where they live, where their kids went to school, etc. cut against Terry.  It muted his efforts to cast a Youngkin as an evil rich white guy cuz, look in the mirror.  I don’t think the candidate has to be a minority but I do think Abbott is a formidable candidate in a right leaning state.  And the media is wrong. Texas is still VERY red.  So the Democratic candidate needs to be a real force.[/quote]

Yeah Abbott is formidable. But he is the incumbent and Beto would be the challenger, so it's a very different position from Youngkin. Also while Youngkin whitewashed his positions so they could be appealing to moderate voters, Abbott isn't able to do that. I'm not disagreeing that this is going to be a hard race and it's unlikely Beto will win - I just think that it's sort of nonsensical to draw parallels to this race and Virginia. Virginia was really different. I don't see Beto running on an anti-Trump campaign when he has an actual Abbott to run against - and he seems aware that he has to run on being able to provide things to Texans that they really want, not just some boogeyman.

I hope anyway![/quote]

It's not a hard race.  It is not possible.  Now some odd event could occur that could cause this to be close.  That is why I think he is running.  Run well, hope something crazy happens and then he can see.  But Texas is not a close state and Abbott is spending a lot of time building on the Latino vote Trump got.  Dems can't win in Texas if Reps get same Latino numbers as Trump.  Math is not there.[/quote]

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