Reply to Best Post I’ve Seen in a Month on DL/Hybrid Choice

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote]If you’re in this camp, and I acknowledge that many, many people are, I’m asking you to consider that number from a slightly different angle.

FCPS has 189,000 children. .0016 of that is 302. 302 dead children are the Calvary Hill you’re erecting your argument on. So, let’s agree to do this: stop presenting this as a data point. If this is your argument, I challenge you to have courage equal to your conviction. Go ahead, plant a flag on the internet and say, “Only 302 children will die.” No one will. That’s the kind action on social media that gets you fired from your job. And I trust our social media enclave isn’t so careless and irresponsible with life that it would even, for even a millisecond, enter any of your minds to make such an argument.

Considered another way: You’re presented with a bag with 189,000 $1 bills. You’re told that in the bag are 302 random bills, they look and feel just like all the others, but each one of those bills will kill you. Do you take the money out of the bag?[/quote]

This doesn’t make sense to me. The death rate of 0.0016 is for those children who contract the virus, not of the total population. The author is saying that if all 189K students in FCPS contract COVID, 302 of them will die.

That’s not going to happen.

There have been 1,237 cases of COVID in children ages 0-17 in Fairfax County in the last 4 months. Zero of them have died.  [/quote]

Exactly.  When someone is THAT wrong in their analysis, I tune out the rest b/c their flawed logic shows me they are only trying to make a point that is dramatic, not factual.

I've seen this being pushed around on Facebook, and it saddens me that so many are falling for his drama.  But, I think it's mainly people who want to shore up their decision to do DL.  They have the right to choose that and I hope it works out.  I don't appreciate the scare tactics.

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