Reply to Why aren't MoCo Dems rallying around Jealous for Governor?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Jealous has practically pulled within the margin of error statewide against hogan. [/quote]

Really? Today’s Post said he is behind by double digits. [/quote]

And this poll says that the margin has widened to 20%.  It seems very unlikely that Jealous has any chance.  In the polling regions that should be his strongholds (PG County, Montgomery County and Baltimore City) the most liberal bastions in the state, he is struggling.  He has virtually no chance in the moderate and conservative regions.

[url]https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news-campaigns/410628-larry-hogan-holds-20-point-lead-over-dem-challenger[/url][/quote]

The Baltimore Sun released a Gonzales poll that shows Hogan and Jealous virtually tied in Montgomery County. Tied! And in Baltimore, it's 50-40. If Hogan gets 40% of the vote in Baltimore then the election is pointless. http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs-md-gonzales-poll-governor-ag-20181009-story.html

Here's a quote from the article:

Washington Post poll: Republican Gov. Larry Hogan leads Democratic challenger Ben Jealous by 20 points. About 64 percent of those surveyed said they think Maryland is moving in the right direction, while 20 percent said the state is off track.The poll found that Hogan leads among Republicans (91 percent to 6 percent), unaffiliated voters (52 percent to 25 percent), men (58 percent to 33 percent), women (49 percent to 38 percent) and white voters (65 percent to 26 percent). Jealous leads among Democrats (55 percent to 35 percent) and black voters (70 percent to 21 percent).

Geographically, Hogan leads in 20 of the state’s 24 jurisdictions — with his support strongest in the rural parts of the state. Hogan led the swing jurisdictions of Baltimore County and Howard County by 37 points and 21 points, respectively. Jealous leads in Prince George’s County (64 percent to 23 percent), Baltimore City (50 percent to 40 percent) and Charles County (44 percent to 39 percent). The two men were tied in traditionally liberal Montgomery County.

A Democrat should normally be carrying Baltimore City in a staggering landslide and dominating in Montgomery County. Those are very bad polls for a Democrat in either jurisdiction. [/quote]

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