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[quote=Anonymous]Re not understanding the strategy.  In addition to reasons other PPs have offered, it’s also the case that safeties aren’t sure things until you have offers in hand.  Lots of moving parts you have no knowledge of or control over and the situation can change dramatically from one year to the next.  One year, adcomms at school X are under pressure to improve yield, so they reject or defer overqualified kids whom they suspect are using them as safeties.  School Y is under pressure to limit OOS students and their priority wrt those students isn’t to maximize GPA/scores but to improve geographic diversity.  School Z has two legacy candidates and an athletic recruit it wants from DC’s HS and they’ve never admitted more than 2 kids in the past.

Basically, there’s a lot of noise in the process.  Odds are strong that if DC applies to a few schools where stats are clearly top 25% of class, s/he will get into at least one.  But any individual school in that range is still a crapshoot. If the goal is to minimize apps to safeties, look for schools with nonbinding early notification options. Land one and DC may be done with that aspect of the process.[/quote]

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