Reply to King Abdullah Academy Closing: FCPS Buy for HS?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There really isn't any excess capacity at any of the HS that surround the KAA site. Westfield (2800+ kids), Chantilly (3000 kids) and Centreville (2600 kids) are full (and Westfield has a ton of multifamily projects being built in its borders). Herndon does have some space but again, that capacity will be eaten up by housing projects being built. South Lakes is further away, but also full. Oakton? Full.

The families in this area have put up with crowded schools and mega schools while other areas got nice renovations for schools that weren't even close to capacity, because they were promised a new high school 20 years ago and every year since in the budget.

This is a golden opportunity and FCPS was so smart to jump on it. I honestly can't believe they did something so smart.

[/quote]

Since this new school won't be available for a while, it makes sense to look at forecasts not current enrollments.  For 2029 FCPS is projecting:

Herndon:  69% capacity and 861 extra seats

Madison:  92% capacity and 186 extra seats

Oakton:  95% capacity and 127 extra seats

South Lakes:  100% capacity and no extra seats

Centreville:  69% capacity and 921 extra seats (assuming the expansion to 3000; if there were no expansion, it would have 45 extra seats; if it were expanded to 2500, it would have 421 extra seats)

Chantilly:  98% capacity and 40 extra seats

Westfield:  97% capacity and 98 extra seats

So please stop exaggerating the expected enrollments at these schools or asserting they will all be at full capacity.  Also keep in mind that FCPS has historically said that up to 105% capacity was acceptable, and these forecasts predate DOGE and the Trump Administration's efforts to reduce local federal jobs.

That's a lot of surplus capacity in the aggregate.  Sure, there is growth in parts of western Fairfax but there is also growth in other parts of the county and student yields can vary depending on the type of new housing.  [/quote]

Then, why are they moving kids out of Chantilly?  There is tons of construction in Westfield boundary.  
Centreville projection assumes the expansion of the school--which would likely be adjusted.

And, almost 100% is not exactly low.

And, again, they are splitting neighborhoods.  There are people right next door to Centreville High that have long bus rides.

Again, the students at five or six high schools would benefit greatly from this purchase.  Not just those who live nearby.  I[/quote]

Chantilly was arguing to stay put and pointing to the projected enrollment declines.

Thru was following a very mechanical approach of proposing boundary changes at any schools currently over 105% without regard to enrollment forecasts.  But their proposals were just that - proposals - and will continue to be adjusted before any changes are adopted.

There's construction near Westfield, and there's construction in other areas of the county as well.  [/quote]

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