Reply to Harris beating Trump in Iowa

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]She was interviewed on the Bulwark the day before the election, and Tim Miller was trying to pin her down on how she knew if she talked to enough republicans. He was trying to get at the fact that certain people might be more likely to respond to a poll, and those people might be democrats, that her methodology might be self selecting. She never really had an answer for him regarding that. More than that, it was like she couldn’t imagine that it could be a problem.
Which makes sense. Her methods had been really reliable for decades. 
Lots of things changed this election cycle. She was hardly the only one to be behind the times.[/quote]

Her sample indicated the electorate would have more Democrats in Republican +8 state. Her poll never made any sense. She failed to release a poll showing Biden down 18 points to Trump in Iowa, but released her final poll that did not align with reality. The fact that neither campaign spent any time or money in Iowa was proof that it wasn’t a competitive state, let alone a state Harris had a chance to win. Trump cam much closer to winning blue states like Illinois and New Jersey than Harris did to winning Iowa. She did worse than Biden in the state. [/quote]

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