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Reply to "2028 Girls Lacrosse"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Looks like we need some data to settle this. Using top 20 (200 or so players committing per year), and players from Northern Virginia, DC, Maryland who go to school at DC/MoCo High Schools. --Local 2025s committed to Top 20 Schools in preseason top 20 1 - UNC 2 - Michigan 1 - JMU 2 - JHU 1 - Florida 1- ND 2 - Denver Total - 10 in top 20 (6 in top 10) Schools that have averaged a top 20 finish over the last decade: 2 - Virginia 2 - Duke Total - 14 Acknowledging that a reasonable argument has been made that the 2028 class is not as strong as 2025 and others, with 10-14 players from the Northern Virginia, DC, and MD committing to the top 20 schools this year, it is fair to imagine that the number for the 2028s is likely to be at least 5 and as high as 8-9. So still a steep climb and challenging odds, but very likely to be more than 1-2 girls from the DC area 2028 class. [/quote] You missed a local Florida commit and inadvertently added Charlottesville schools (St Annes-Belfield and Covenant School). The new list is as follows: Schools in preseason top 20 1 - UNC 1 - Michigan 1 - JMU 2 - JHU 2 - Florida 1- ND 2 - Denver Total - 10 in top 20 (7 in top 10) Schools that have averaged a top 20 finish over the last decade: 0 - Virginia 2 - Duke Total - 12 Of those 12, here is the club breakdown: Capital - 9 YJMA - 2 Hero's - 1 It does seem that the 2025s had to deal with much less "flight" of good players to MD teams than the 2028s. I continue to believe any change at 2028 is related to the flight of Montgomery County players to MD teams, which has adversely impacted the local team rankings. I don’t see an overall geographic area talent drop off as compared to prior years. [/quote]
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