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Reply to "Trump 47 Economy"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The US administration is encouraging the sell-off in US Treasuries. The first order effect of current policy is of course the generation of a large negative supply-side shock that raises inflation and makes it harder for the Fed to cut rates. There is of course the bond basis trade that is being unwound. But there is something larger at play as well: a policy objective of reducing bilateral trade imbalances is functionally equivalent to lowering demand for US assets as well. This is not a theoretical consideration: the US has this week initiated trade negotiations with Japan and South Korea, with a specific reference to currency levels being a negotiating objective. It should not be overlooked that Japan is the largest official holder of US treasuries. An implicit negotiating objective of lowering USD valuations entails the possibility of the sale of US treasuries from the Japanese Ministry of finance. We argued two weeks ago that the whole Mar-A-Lago accord framework was flawed because it imposed fundamental inconsistencies in the desired economic objectives of the administration. We are now seeing those inconsister_Exposed in broad daylight [/quote] China is selling off for the same reason. Trump has totally screwed what made the US great for the last 80 years. This is a totally failed Administration and the GOP needs to cease it NOW, or else we are ALL going to suffer for quite some time.[/quote]
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