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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][b]I have my doubts that the race is really all that close[/b], but some of the nonsense the dems instantly put up on twitter about this, may be telling.

They really are reaching.   Blaming Hogan for the key bridge???  Hilarious.[/quote]

It's not.  Hogan is really a very, very long-shot and is likely about 10 points behind.

Note that most of the pre-primary polling showed Trone averaging about 7-9% ahead of Alsobrooks.  One poll even had Trone ahead by 19%.  In the end, Alsobrooks ended up ahead by over 10%.  The polls and media are very anti-PG county and very anti-minority.  As a black woman from PG County, the polls and media are going to portray her as a poor candidate and that she is behind.  In truth, the state of MD gives a lot more support to Democratic candidates over Republican candidates.   While the state might vote for a Republican governor/executive like Hogan and Ehrlich, they are not going to vote for a Republican senator.  It hasn't happened for over 40 years and with the divisiveness in both chambers of Congress, it is very unlikely that a Republican candidate outside of district 1 (Eastern Shore) or 6 (western panhandle) has any shot of winning.  I think Hogan is much stronger than any other Republican candidate, which is why I think he'll come within 10% of Alsobrooks, but it is unlikely that he gets much closer than that.[/quote]

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