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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The census estimated there were 38,522 children aged 5-10 in DC in 2015. DCPS and charters reported 38,421 children enrolled in grades K-4 in 2015/16. In 2010, the American Community Survey estimated there were 4,784 DC children enrolled in private K-4. Doesn't capture home schooling. Even with margins of error and declines in private school enrollment since 2010, seems like DC has a couple thousand more kids enrolled in school than are in the census for DC.[/quote]

Oooh! I like your research! [/quote]

Good thinking to look in these numbers!  Question:  Seems like ages 5-10 is 6 years worth of children, but K-4 is only 5 grades.  Is there a mismatch?[/quote]

Citing some links would be useful. According to this for 2014 kids from 5-11 in D.C. = 41,551
http://datacenter.kidscount.org/data/tables/101-child-population-by-age-group#detailed/2/10/false/869/62,63,64,6,4693/419,420

and for enrollment for 2014/2015 for k-6 = 24,353 
http://dcps.dc.gov/page/dcps-glance-enrollment

and for k-4 for 2015/16 = 20,161

Somebody correct my math, maybe i am just doing this too quickly.
[/quote]

Here is what i used:

charter enrollment: http://www.dcpcsb.org/data/student-enrollment
DCPS enrollment: http://dcps.dc.gov/page/dcps-glance-enrollment
census: http://factfinder.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/PEP/2015/PEPSYASEX?slice=GEO~0400000US11

can't find the ACS with private school right now. I couldn't find by year, just by group, which is why it cut off at 4th not 5th.[/quote]

I can't believe I spent part of a Friday night looking for this. But here is a 2014 ACS table on private school enrollment: http://factfinder.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/ACS/14_1YR/C14002/0400000US11

Also -- I don't know if the census undercounts kids, and, yes, the 2015 number is not a direct census, but the methodology they use to get to the 2015 numbers seems OK. Does the census undercount kids by ~10%? That's how many extra kids my kludgy math comes up with for DCPS + charter + private compared to the census for the elementary school years. Not proof that there are extra kids in DC public schools but food for thought. [/quote]

the last census was in 2010 and yes it undercounts siginicantly. these are numbers being picked out of the air. [/quote]

"This report includes a high-level review of the issue of the undercount of children age 0-4 in censuses and
surveys. "
https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/working-papers/2014/demo/2014-undercount-children.pdf[/quote]

"Persistent undercount of young children, ages 0 to 4, in the decennial census"
"4.6% net undercount in 2010, nearly 1 million young children"

"Children under the age of 5 were especially likely to be missed in the 2010 Census, with a net undercount of 4.6 percent"
https://www2.census.gov/census_2020/pmr_materials/2016-04-12/PrePMR%20The%20Undercount%20of%20Young%20Children.pdf

It appears that for age groups from 5 to 9 and 10 to 17 there is not a significant under count. Probably because school age children have to intersect with the government for purposes of public school and immunizations.[/quote]

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