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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]22207 is seeing quite the spike in covid cases.  Nottingham is now leading the pack for the past seven days, and my kid said there were a lot of kids out today who were there last week.  Williamsburg just got a bunch of new cases today that will hit the dashboard in the next day or two.  Mask optional seems to be working out brilliantly![/quote]]

This is predictable given that 22207 is the home of the privileged antimask Covid deniers who have to get back to "normal." [/quote]

This theory doesn't make any sense.  If your description of 22207 were accurate, we would expect to see the 22207 schools with above-average case rates all through the pandemic because those families would have been engaged in higher-risk activities all along, but the data doesn't bear that out.  For the pandemic as a whole, Yorktown is squarely in the middle between W-L and Wakefield, based on both total cases and relative to total student population.  Hamm has the lowest case/student rate of the middle schools; Williamsburg is on the higher side, but clustered right with Gunston and Jefferson on a case/student basis.  For the elementary schools, Discovery is above average on a case/student basis, but Nottingham, Jamestown and Taylor have been at or below average.

I can't tell you why there is a suddenly such a huge spike in cases in 22207, but the data does not support your theory.  [/quote]

Eh.  Attitudes have been changing rapidly over the last few weeks and people who wore masks and took mandated precautions because they weren't rule breakers may feel more emboldened now that the mandates have dropped.  If you look at the dashboard over the last 7 days for 22207 and the school breakdowns, Nottingham, Yorktown, Jamestown, and Williamsburg are all showing the highest number of cases across APS, in that order.  [/quote]

22207 and 22213 (far northwest corner with both Discovery, Tuckahoe kids) have the LEAST cases per 100,000 over the entire pandemic.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/kjhb0DT.png[/img][/quote]

That’s probably why they are getting it now. They didn’t have natural immunity. So, makes come off, indoor play dates and birthday parties are on and kids get covid. [/quote]

Yep and these are the schools where kids are unmasking in much greater numbers. [/quote]

Do you have data to back that up, or is it pure speculation?[/quote]

So you are denying that kids are removing masks in large numbers in North Arlington? [/quote]

The question is the current relative rates of mask wearing at schools currently seeing a spike in cases vs other schools.  I don’t know the current masking rates in 22207 schools to answer your question either way, nor do I know the rates for any other schools.  Therefore, I do not have a basis to confirm or deny that this factor at all explains the current spike of cases in 22207.  If you have data to support your assertion, please provide it.  Otherwise this is nothing more than baseless speculation on your part.[/quote]

APS isn't keeping data on how many kids are not wearing masks, at least as far as I know. I believe they stated that are not doing that. It would be great if they did because then we could really see the impact of removing masks on case levels. If you'd like to see that too, then email APS to ask them to collect that data.

Here is what I know: We live in 22207. I have heard from my children and I have heard from my friends with kids at nearby schools about how many kids are unmasking in the 22207 schools. I'm also hearing from friends with kids in other schools in other parts of Arlington. Kids in those schools are keeping their masks on in much higher numbers. (The stark difference is quite fascinating to me.)

I can read the dashboard and I can compare the cases at the schools in 22207 to the cases at the schools in other parts of Arlington. The data shows that there are a lot more cases now in the 22207 schools as compared to the other zip codes. Some will dismiss this is a coincidence of course.

[/quote]

Other relevant factor is the surveillance testing opt-in factor. No way I’m signing up to contribute to our community’s mass hysteria. Happy to test if my kids are symptomatic but otherwise absolutely not. [/quote]

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