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Reply to "Harris beating Trump in Iowa"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Lol if you believe this. Have you been to Iowa? I grew up there. The Democrats are dead to those people. I have family members that were Democrats for years, but are now loyal Trump supporters. No chance those people are backing Kamala Harris.[/quote] Did you see the post above yours? Ann Seltzer polls are usually very accurate.[/quote] Ok. Everyone is wrong sometimes, and here, direct experience strongly indicates this poll is very wrong. It is also an outlier among polls. For all I know, Ann Seltzer got a huge payday to sacrifice some credibility to put out good numbers for Harris. In any event, I do not believe it is accurate. This is based on the experience of having grown up there and having watched people abandon the Democrats first hand.[/quote] A Democrat got 47.5% of the vote for Iowa governor in 2018. [/quote] That’s a lot different than a national democrat. And kamala harris is a bottom of the barrel national democrat at that. No chance there has been a huge swing in her favor.[/quote] Copium[/quote] Like i said, you’re free to think whatever you want. Experience tells me you are wrong and Seltzer is wrong.[/quote] Except Seltzer has been spot on for the last 12+ years, even as she’s contrasted other polls. I tend to lean on her reliability as a good indicator of where things are vs. your gut. [/quote] That’s your choice. I believe she is wrong. I would not even be surprised to learn she got paid big money to put out a poll like this. I fully expect these types of organizations to throw out some last minute polls purporting to show that Kamala Harris is riding high as a last ditch effort to try to push her across the line. It is all BS by a very partisan set at this point.[/quote] Conspiracy is all MAGAs can argue at this point. They refuse to face reality [/quote] IDK if Harris will win, though hope so. But Selzer is based in IA and that's her bread and butter. Getting paid big money for a one-off poll is not how she works. YK, a lot of folks out there are not grifters in the way MAGATs are.[/quote]
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