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Reply to "Ukrainian victory over Russia is inevitable "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]There is no doubt Ukrainians have suffered enormous casualties. Maybe not as bad as Russians, who are losing almost a 1000 a day in places like Avdiivka. This is a serious war. Saw a report that indicates that Russians have less than a 4 percent chance of surviving a year on the front. I'm sure it's similar for Ukrainian soldiers. [/quote] Speaking of BS... Russia would have had to have lost their entire army almost twice over for your 4 percent figure to be even remotely possible. Given what we can guess about Russian force size and casualties, its probably more like a 4 percent chance of dying since the start of the SMO. If you want to see Russian casualties, you can just look here: [url]https://en.zona.media/article/2022/05/20/casualties_eng[/url] There was an uptick in October when Russia started pushing on Avdeevka, but it wasn't even 1,000 for the month on all fronts combined. And surely you must realize that if Russia was losing 1,000 a day there, then they wouldn't be winning that battle. [/quote] I would assume the poster was talking about front line troops. If Russia has a tooth to tail ratio of 1:4; likely higher. That means if they have 1M troops in Ukraine, only 200k are front line. That 4% still seems way too low. Maybe it refers to shock infantry troops…that number for them may be realistic from the evidence out there. Russia sends waves of infantry with little to no armor support. These troops are basically bait to determine Ukrainian positions.[/quote]
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