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Reply to "Nicole Shanahan says RFK Jr. campaign considering joining forces with Trump"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Polls are showing former RFK Jr support is splitting slightly in Harris's favor. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model[/quote] Looks like it's breaking slightly for Trump but not significant factoring in her convention bounce. "There are a couple of essential things to note here. First, yes, Trump has gained slightly more than Harris from the change, although it’s pretty minor, a net gain of 0.3 percentage points.1 And second, we’re seeing the beginnings of a convention bounce for Harris. Even with the Kennedy change, She’s now ahead by 4.0 points in the national polling average versus 2.3 points when the DNC started. Our best guess is that her lead will increase further, especially given that almost none of the polling was done after her strong acceptance speech on Thursday. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. For now, there’s pretty much no change in the topline numbers – Harris is at around 53 percent to win the Electoral College, the same as in recent days." [/quote]
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