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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I’ll believe it when I see it.

AI still hallucinates like crazy and needs a lot of prompt engineering and training to do anything useful.

The notion that AI can replace “the vast majority of what we do in white collar jobs” is kind of laughable.

Yes, it will replace some things.

But it is very unlikely to replace the “vast majority” of people.[/quote]

You're wrong. Google anything about this and read. This is a real thing that is happening. [/quote]

Ok, let’s take one example.

Explain to me how AI will replace lawyers.

I’m not talking about AI being incorporated into legal workflows.

I mean a world in which we have no lawyers because AI is doing all legal work.

Will an AI agent represent a client in court?

What about doctors? Professors?

Will kids enter a classroom and be taught by an AI agent? [/quote]

No of course not all of them, but it will greatly reduce the numbers. In law, many small claims will definitely be handled by AI - that is already being tried in arbitration and it is very effective. That will expand, and eventually only the most complex cases will be tried before a jury and you won’t need many people for that. Same in medicine - you will certainly still need nurses and carers, and you will need some doctors, but many aspects of care/surgery/diagnosis will be able to be handled even more effectively by AI. Again, already happening to a significant degree in radiography, in surgery, and in patient admin. 
There will still be jobs in these fields but there will not be as many. And the part that makes it different to anything the world has seen before is that these changes are happening across literally all industries at the same time. So it’s not like people in one industry can retrain and pivot to another because every industry is facing the same situation. [/quote]

AI is not reducing the need for humans in surgery to any degree, at this time. There could be a day in the future that yet-to-be designed robots would operate with future AI, but not at this point.

— one of the busiest surgical departments at a major teaching hospital [/quote]

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