Reply to Should DCPS add or shutdown any schools?

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Reply to "Should DCPS add or shutdown any schools?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]All of this assumes growth will continue despite declining birth rates and federal meddling in the city.[/quote]

I don’t think growth will continue; in addition to declining birth rates, a lot of DC growth recently has been driven by international migration in, and that’s also probably not continuing.

That said, I think a lot of the coming collapse will be in the charter sector, so it’s possible DCPS locations will see at least a blip of growth when those kids move school. [/quote]

Could be. Or maybe they'll go to other underenrolled charters. I think historically it's been a real mixture of destinations and people don't just default to their neighborhood school. Or sometimes other charters step in and actively recruit or almost absorb. I think the Friendship Armstrong location did that back when City Arts and Prep closed, some years ago.

I think DCPS should be ready for change in either direction and wait and see how things shake out at the PCSB this cycle.[/quote]
Missing from this discussion is that the privates have spiked astronomically in price in the last 15 years, and the weird financial aid tricks haven’t kept up for the most part. 20 years ago a high school teacher could send more than one kid to TCS at a time, now even my orthopedic surgeon friends aren’t able to swing it. The only people I know who can keep two or more kids in the higher end privates work in finance. Outside of those people, you either move to the suburbs or go to your inbounds. The move in the past was almost always to move to the suburbs. Now at least anecdotally that isn’t happening. However, my kids are in elementary at a DCI feeder. My friends’ kids are at Janney or other charters, with a couple at Hill elementary schools and Ward 5 schools. The rubber will meet the road at middle school. [/quote]

I'd add a category of private school kids as family money, but yeah this.

Even vouchers can't make private school work for a lot of families. And scholarships might help for one but again multiple kids makes private school really tough.

I agree the MS and HS years will be a test for a lot of families but the suburbs are so expensive and when you look at the issues in MCPS there are a lot of folks weary to trade convenient distinction for less convenient distinction. [/quote]

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