Toggle navigation
Toggle navigation
Home
DCUM Forums
Nanny Forums
Events
About DCUM
Advertising
Search
Recent Topics
Hottest Topics
FAQs and Guidelines
Privacy Policy
Your current identity is: Anonymous
Login
Preview
Subject:
Forum Index
»
Political Discussion
Reply to "Betting Markets"
Subject:
Emoticons
More smilies
Text Color:
Default
Dark Red
Red
Orange
Brown
Yellow
Green
Olive
Cyan
Blue
Dark Blue
Violet
White
Black
Font:
Very Small
Small
Normal
Big
Giant
Close Marks
[quote=Anonymous]Prediction markets are a useless metric for knowing who's likely to win the election whether they're favoring your preferred candidate or her opponent. People betting on them don't have access to any secret information besides what the rest of us can read, i.e., polls, and averaging the polls together gets you the same aggregate wisdom as a betting market does but without additional weird factors like, oh, $30 million bets by French whales, or a way-more-into-crypto-than-the-overall-electorate betting population. If you're a Harris supporter who's now suddenly hailing PredictIt toplines, go log off and see a movie today instead.[/quote]
Options
Disable HTML in this message
Disable BB Code in this message
Disable smilies in this message
Review message
Search
Recent Topics
Hottest Topics
