Reply to Any schools Waitlist data shock you?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]CMI also. Short waitlist even for PK3, and offered 30 seats for 6th [/quote]

This one isn't shocking, because they have been on a hard decline for years -- but the Drop from their Prek-3 peak in 2018, with a waitlist of 406 to This year being only 30 is very very telling -- They are in the same boat as TR, they were already sinking with a questionable admin before COVID and then their response to COVID sunk their battle ship. [/quote]

My only question is "Where is the bottom of this spiral?"

It seems like SSMA has been spiraling down for years but never quite gets to the point of making big changes or calling it quits.[/quote]

Good point. My understanding is that TR is heavily leveraged with a significant amount of debt related to expansion. So they might be in a more perilous situation.

[/quote]

Oh wow. Ouch. Well, at least TR is making some leadership changes. It's clear they do recognize they have a problem. The things I hear from younger-kid parents are cautiously optimistic.[/quote]

I think TR may axe the 4th St campus entirely, especially if JOW starts sucking up local families post-reno. [/quote]

+1, this has occurred to me as well. I actually think that has long been the plan, actually, and a major reason they expanded to Young, because the 4th street campus is pretty cramped and has a lot of issues (two buildings, the traffic on Florida, really annoying drop off/pick up, and very limited outdoor space). I remember looking at it 5 years ago and thinking it seemed less than ideal, I'm a little surprised they haven't announced an official plan to transition fully to Young by now.

I live in the neighborhood and I also feel like there is a groundswell of interest in JOW. Their lottery results confirm this. I thought there would be a lot less interest in the school for the PK grades because of the swing space (I remember this being a factor in our lottery choices for PK because CHML was busing to a swing space at the time) but the lottery numbers area actually consistent for PK and up for upper grades this year. I think people are looking down the road at the new space. I still think there will be a drop in enrollment over the next two years due to the swing, but I think it will have a trajectory similar to John Lewis, which has really started to flourish since it's renovation (done by the same firm as JOW has, I believe).[/quote]

I can imagine some families in bounds for miner, Wheatley, etc. would see the swing space as an advantage since it's closer to them than JO itself is. And if they stick with JOW they would have the option of attending Stuart Hobson.[/quote]

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