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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote]Mom was so proud of the effort her child was putting in, and the grades he was getting, she was sure he’d be a shoo-in to these SLACs she hadn’t even heard of. She actually thought they were no-name schools. [/quote] She'll be here in May complaining that her kid was "shut out." The overall admit rate is only one factor in admissions. Demand for major (nursing, engineering, CS, business), popularity of the school  and timing of the application (ED, EA, RD) have to be considered as well when picking safeties. Like PPs, my DC was accepted at all 3 three safeties, with nice merit. If you spend some time looking at the CDS for schools, you should be able to make a realistic list. [/quote]

It is very possible to do that.  My kid (2023 fall, 1500/3.98UW/8AP):
T10: ED1, deferred then rejected
T20: Rejected
T30:  WL
Ranked in 30s: EA accepted merit
Ranked in 40s: EA accepted Excellent merit 
~50: Accepted, spend semester abroad (acceptance rates in single digits, over 93K applications for 2500-4000 spots)
~50: Accepted Direct admit Engineering (state flagship, engineering acceptance rate ~40%)
~60s: Accepted, great merit (was top Safety)
3 schools 70+: accepted to all, all with merit

So it went exactly how we expected.  Rejected from T20 schools (high reaches), WL at "low reach", and accepted at all targets, safeties, and likelies. 
If you create a balanced list, you should get into at least 50% of your target and safeties, and all of your likelies.

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