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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It seems it is a must for midwestern privates to rely on waitlist to fill the class. We looked at the CDS for the three major privates UChicago, Northwestern and Case Western.

Only Case Western lesser known that the other two disclosed full waitlist data and pulled 350 out of waitlist five times the number of Northwestern which pulled around 70 kids. Assuming the ratio holds, Northwestern at least put 2k students on waitlist. Given Northwestern's 63% yield it at least had to pull 100+ kids off the waitlist. In other words there is a 5% chance one will get off the northwestern waitlist.

For UChicago the waitlist is even more mysterious. Based on yield rate of 86% which is higher than any of HYPSM+ every other schools  (state & private) there data doesn't make sense. [b]Assuming the yield from EDI & EDII are 99%, to maintain that high an yield UChicago still have to get at least half of its class from EA & RD. [/b]Which will indicate they must go deep into the waitlist pool, and probably somewhere in the middle between Northwestern and Case Western. All these are based on 2021 CDS data.  [/quote]

I don't understand the bolded. Why doesn't the high yield indicate that Chicago fills a huge percentage of its class (probably around 80%) w/ ED1/ED2? What am I missing? My guess is that UChicago admits very few EA/RD and then relies heavily on WL to maintain high yield. I also think they're only admitting students from the WL who they are sure will come based on LOCI, discussions w/ college counselors, etc.[/quote]

Let's say Chicago gets 90% of its class filled with EDI & ED2. That is about 1800 spots and 99% of them will ultimately enroll given some will be allowed to get out for financial or other reasons. For the remaining 200+ spots Chicago must make at least 600 offers. That is a 33% yield on EA and RD admits. But it will be very risky for them to offer 600 students a spot at the same time. if the yield rate spikes up they will end up with more students than they are able to accommodate. So they have to control rolling out of the offers. The way to do it is to actively manage the waitlist so they will probably go deeper the into waitlist than Northwestern.    [/quote]

NP. Interesting. Makes sense.[/quote]

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