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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I have been thinking about this as well. My oldest kid is a high stats kid with great EC's  at a Big 3. Rejected early from an Ivy, thankfully into one safety with "merit $" and into one one target/safety.

The rest of my senior kid's applications are all reaches. I think my kid will end up at the target safety - a school thankfully they love and are excited to attend.

Here is the issue
I have a junior applying next year. Great kid - medium/high stats, medium extracurriculars. I'm petrified about this kid finding safeties.. A friend of my senior kid has similar stats to our junior and also was deferred or rejected everywhere early like OP. I am hearing safeties are no longer safeties. I think the college advising offices are shocked by what is happening and playing catch up. When the safeties are also a lottery, it's hard to make good application decisions.

[b]For the first time ever I have heard of good qualified kids getting shut out. Its worrisome.[/b] [/quote]

Not to say it doesn’t happen but I haven’t heard of a high stat kid getting completely shut out by RD notifications timeframe if they applied to a balanced list of schools with consideration of major and being OOS when that impacts the acceptance rate, showed interest to safety/targets where that mattered, applied to the state schools that were more of the safeties on the earlier end, and pivoted if needed if ED/EA weren’t favorable (look at essay, see if need to add more safeties/targets, is there anything else that could be off in the application package).  Usually something works out - just maybe not as expected  - like spring admission to a more competitive school or rejected or spring UMD for EA but in at a competitive LAC or university in RD, or maybe just got into some safeties and not the target or reaches.

The pitfall for the near shutouts IMO tend to be that schools on the list as safeties/soft target are very competitive in their major I.e. Engineering at Virginia Tech or Newhouse School at Syracuse, or as OOS it’s even tougher between explicit caps on OOS and the number of in-state high stats kids applying either because of reputation and/or merit programs to encourage them to stay in-state  I.e. UNC, UVA, William and Mary, and UGA.  Or they apply late in the game like applying in January to University Delaware when the same application in October would have gotten admission with merit.[/quote]

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