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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]This isn’t a universal question.  You have to pay attention to the data from your specific school.  My kid was told W&M and BC were safeties.  These are not traditionally safeties (and amazing schools) but kids with similar stats had never been denied, even in non-binding admit situations. Most of this board will argue with this though.  And kid was applying to UMD and others too in case.[/quote]
A couple of thoughts. Naviance is inherently backward-looking and very risky for relying on, by itself, for choosing a safety. People have been burned before with such an approach. (Anecdotally, despite having been surrounded by green checks in Naviance, my URM, full pay. legacy, from a Jesuit high school, with good scores, was denied at BC. Test optional had a significant effect there, making predictions based on Naviance even less reliable.) Also, the acceptance rate in the high teens. Not in the ballpark of what should be referred to as a "safety."

"Backup," "likely," are fine terms. But it's critical to distinguish between "backups" that are actual safeties and those that are not.

[quote]Our plan for a high stats kid is to apply to places that are probably safeties (but not definitely safeties) that have EA and notify before RD applications are done. Then, if he doesn't get in, I guess we scramble for "true" safeties.

So, for example, Pitt is getting harder to get into. It might not be a true safety, but if you get into Pitt in October, as kids I know did, then it serves as your safety in that you can stop looking for another safety.[/quote]

That's a fair approach. Schools with rolling deadlines are great for this purpose if they are also sufficiently desirable and the offer is affordable.

It's also possible to go in the opposite direction, find safeties with late app deadlines where one can apply after RD results, e.g. Arizona, though it pays to have that determined ahead of time, especially with regard to scholarship deadlines.

Proper prior planning prevents poor performance...[/quote]

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