Reply to For the "Close School" Crowd, help me with interpret these numbers...

Forum Index » Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS)

Reply to "For the "Close School" Crowd, help me with interpret these numbers..."

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Both Moco and MCPS 7 day positivity  going down rapidly.

https://www.montgomerycountymd.gov/covid19/data/

very low risk of transmission even as we have a high number of cases.  This means positive case rate is dropping, as we are seeing in MCPS:

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/coronavirus/dashboard/

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/uploadedFiles/Coronavirus/dashboaird/January%2020%20Daily%20Data.pdf
1/20 - grand total 279

https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/uploadedFiles/Coronavirus/dashboaird/January%2013%20Daily%20Data.pdf
1/13 - grand total 1015
1/6 - grand total 1842

I'm so glad my kids' schools stayed open even though one DC was quarantined for 10 days.  [/quote]

The chart you posted says “high risk of transmission,” not “very low.”[/quote]

NP. Are we really doing this again? There are five metrics. Some of them show "high risk." One of them shows "very low risk." You can debate which metric you think matters most, but let's have the literacy skills you'd expect from a high school freshman. [/quote]

Hah, of course there's a typo in a message where I'm snarky. There are three metrics that show transmission risk, not five.[/quote]

PP at whom you were snarking here. Writing "five" where you meant "three" is not a typo. At any rate, the real number is six. So, you misread the chart. Maybe you shouldn't be so snarky.

[b]I [/b]did not misread the chart. This set of charts has a summary at the top, headed "Level of community transmission" that says "high risk." That's the overall COVID-related risk, assessed via the cumulative consideration of the six (not three or five) metrics on the page labeled "1 of 7."

That high level of overall risk is reflected in the two things labeled "primary metrics" both reading "high transmission" and one out of the five others labeled as "secondary indicators" reading "very low."

The only "very low" metric is the metric that reflects rate of change. Rate of change is important to us as a group but irrelevant to an individual, since an individual's likelihood of encountering COVID in the community has nothing to do with the rate of change and everything to do with what proportion of people are walking around with active COVID infections. [/quote]

There are three metrics that reflect risk of transmission. Hospital utilization isn't relevant to how likely you are to catch COVID. You seem to understand that in that you say "level of overall risk is reflected in the TWO things...and ONE out of the five others." Obviously neither of you were talking about the hospitalization metrics, so I didn't include those. I feel fine being snarky[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics