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Reply to "Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling"
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[quote=Anonymous]The problem was not the polling as much as it was the assumptions in their turnout models. They adjust the raw polling data to the demographics and geography of their projections of turnout. They assumed that 2016 maxed out the rural white vote for Trump but millions more turned out in 2020. Democrats also had much higher turnout and flipped a lot of suburbs and that helped Biden win states but did not help Democratic House candidates in non-urban districts. Generally, every county in America voted pretty much as expected but some areas had more total votes than expected. The only real misses in the polling were the Florida Cuban-Americans and the SW Texas Hispanics who liked Trump better in 2020 than in 2016. [/quote]
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