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Reply to "Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I still feel deep down that R’s have been stealing elections for years. And now they are suppressing votes by law[/quote] I said so on the first page and I stand by that. Look at the Q nonsense, the centerpiece charge of which was that there was a cabal of all powerful Democrats who were trading kids around. Turns out there’s a cabal alright, but it’s Republicans. They are all projection. So their [i]continued[/i] obsession with alleged election fraud strongly points the finger to them stealing elections across the country. I think 2020 was an absolute blowout win for the Democrats. I think Biden probably won closer to 90 million votes (if not more) and Trump probably closer to 65 million votes (and probably less). I think there is a solid Democratic majority in the Senate and I think we probably won a lot more state elections, too. Ask yourself: why would the Democratic pollsters all be off? Does that even make sense? Contrary to the childish conservative belief (but I repeat myself) that pollsters want to steer people, they actually want to be as accurate as possible because that’s how pollsters keep a reputation for accuracy and how they stay in business. But if the GOP pollsters are all in on the GOP’s game, they can adjust their polls as necessary. [/quote] So this is what the liberal version of Q looks like ^^^. Wow.[/quote] Not really. [/quote] DP. I'm a Democrat and yeah it is. I love the 90-65 victory. But no evidence. Just because they are paranoid doesn't mean you aren't.[/quote] I don’t care if your name is Joe Biden. I’m not paranoid. What I say makes sense. I didn’t claim to have any direct evidence, but [i]seriously[/i]. Look at how Republicans [i]far[/i] out perform polls and projections. It makes no damn sense; the article even mentions it: “Tuesday’s statement marks the beginning of a years-long process to examine why, since 2012, most major elections have tilted against the party, despite favorable polling data before the vote. Up and down the ballot, Democrats have been, more often than not, shell-shocked by defeats in races they thought to be competitive, or narrower-than-expected, victories in contests they thought they led comfortably.” How does this even pass the sniff test to you? There were several very close polling Senate races in 2020, specifically Iowa, Maine and North Carolina, in which it was a tossup or even a lean D and the GOP pulled it out? Even famously unpopular and deeply concerned Susan Collins? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections Then look first at the expected vote margins, then the actual outcome. How is it possible that the GOP outperforms the polls all the time? It doesn’t even make sense and I’m tired of people like you looking away saying there’s no evidence when there’s pretty damn good circumstantial evidence. I’m not claiming to be some high-clearance person in the government who is the only one to tell you about a satanic sex cabal in the government. So don’t dismiss me out of hand.[/quote] If your sample differs from the population at large, your sample is probably off, not the population. [/quote] Exactly this.[/quote] +1 Every conservative on here has tried to explain that they would never answer a political poll (for many reasons) and all the liberals just refuse to accept it.[/quote] I'm not sure you should be plus-one-ing this because it does not say what you're saying, and pollsters adjust for nonresponse anyway. The bigger issue is that pollsters might not be capturing the underlying partisan composition of the electorate. In the past decade there's been an uptick in people who self-identify as Independents, but vote straight R anyway.[/quote]
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