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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]So I got confused reading through this thread.

Did anyone refute this claim?

In the Wisconsin study, 60% more staff got infected than people in the general community.[/quote]

No, no one has refuted it, but when I said so I was told I can't read.

Staff infection rate = 8868.5/100k. Total county rate is 5466/100k, inclusive of those in and out of school, whether adults or kids. 8868.5/5466 = 1.62, which is roughly 62% higher. (This is not quite apples-to-apples, but 100% adults vs. a group that's likely 75-80+% adults is much closer to apples-to-apples than the comparison given in the study that has 88% kids in the school group.)

The study does not provide the numbers to split the non-school community members into kids and adults, but the weighted average (kids + adults) non-school rate is either 4746 (if you use 3393 total cases and 73k total county population) or 5631 (if you assume 3393 was a typo for 3993, which allows the 5466 overall rate for all people to be correct.). Either of the 4746 or 5631 has some unknown number of non-school kids*, so the non-school adult numbers would be higher, but they cannot approach 8868 when we know 5466 is the total county rate.

*We could estimate the number of virtual kids from the numbers given in the study, but they didn't mention those not yet in school.
[/quote]

The study compares county rates of all people, children and adults, to the school rates of children and adults, and finds that lower.  You are now comparing the adult rate to the county rate and finding it higher.

Your reasoning makes less sense than the study.  You've just proved that the numbers are lower in the schools than the general population, as the study found.  You've proved their results.[/quote]

Yes, I am comparing in-school adult rate to county rate of everyone (to show where WP guy's 60% number came from). I agree that is not apples-to-apples, which I said. I was saying it is closer to apples-to-apples than the study because both groups are majority adults, unlike in the study.

They study does not have the data to compare in-school adults to out-of-school adults, but it does have enough information to show that the out-of-school adult rate must be lower than 8868.5/100k. The school adult rate is therefore between 0% higher (we know that's too low because it requires the outside community be made up of way too-high a % of kids) and 62% higher (we know that's too high like you said because it has kids in the denominator of community) than the non-school adult rate. Either way, the in-school adults have a higher rate than the non-school adults.[/quote]

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