Reply to Fierce competition for Fall 2021 admissions, if lots of current seniors defer?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Yes, I anticipate that this will land heavily on the class of 2021.

Colleges will surely allow deferrals.  [b]Class of 2021 is this unknown quantity: no grades, potentially no SAT's, no meaningful AP scores, no achievements.  Figuring out whom to admit will be a nightmare for most colleges.  [/b]

Class of 2020 students that were already admitted were excellent, hence that's why they were chosen.  If a sizable portion of the class of 2020 students defer, college will admit off waitlist and be fine.  Students at the top of the waitlist are barely different from students who were admitted, everyone knows it.  Students who were juuuuuuust a tad below the cut will gladly grab onto the ability to attend a reach school, in person or not, and will not defer because they got an admission they were hoping for, but never really counting on.

Admission for 2021 will be much easier on the colleges; half the slots are already filled with excellent class of 2020 students!

Win-win for everyone except class of 2021, or current Juniors.

As a parent of a Junior, there is nothing I can do to change this layout.  Yes it makes me upset.  I will suggest that my child applies heavily to safeties in addition to the predetermined state and reach schools.

To parents of 2020 Seniors who just missed the cut to be admitted to the top choice schools - congrats, you pulled out a BANNER YEAR.  Wait for those waitlists to move.  You won a lottery.  Don't miss your chance, recession is coming, it won't be pretty for anyone.[/quote]

[b]This is exactly why colleges will be happy to fill all of Fall 2020 and 1/2 of Fall 2021 with 2020 grads.  They come with data and the colleges know what they're getting.  
With the class of 2021 they have no idea[/b].  They could be admitting top students, they could be admitting mediocre students.  There won't be meaningful ways to distinguish between students. 
It's a huge bummer for high achievers in the class of 2021.

But life will go on.   The reality is that top students will almost universally be fine regardless of what college they attend.  We've all been reading the data that supports this and telling ourselves this for YEARS. 
Now we will likely see it play out.  
[/quote]

PP here.  Yes, we both agree on that point.

This is a game which society as a whole and colleges in particular will win at the cost of our class of 2021, current juniors.

No, they will not recover, although some individuals will do OK.

I am a parent of such a junior.  I am considering options and making the best choices in the situation.  Class of 2021 as a whole will be at a severe disadvantage compared to class of 2020 or class of 2022.
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