Reply to TJ Class of 2017 College Destination List

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Maybe it's the fact that admission to these colleges is becoming more and more like a lottery and more kids are applying to more colleges hoping that more tickets will increase their chances of winning.  Instead of applying to 5-6 colleges, kids are now applying to 10 or more.  It becomes a feedback loop...[/quote]

Yes but...Demographics don't indicate a spike in US college age population.  It's actually steady to declining currently.  If a child applies to 12 colleges and gets in to all 12, he/she can only attend 1 of them and the other 11 will have to fill his/her slot with someone else.  IMHO the top universities have been successful in increasing their outreach to kids who wouldn't have applied in previous years (foreign students, URMs, 1st gen college students and families in the bottom 25%).  My alma mater is one of those schools and its student population is now almost 50% students of color or first gen college.  I wonder if less competitive private and state colleges (not the flagships UVA, UMichigan, UTexas, Berkeleys of the world) are seeing a DECLINE in applications.[/quote]
Interesting question. Also, are the quality of students at the so-called second tiers (not my phrase or belief) rising? Professor friends at Midwest flag ships see the quality of student rising. And state schools (let's VaTech over UVA) I viewed as safeties for my own kids are possibly no longer safeties. The cal state schools (vs the traditionally more difficult to get into U Cal schools) are also becoming much harder to get into. I'm guessing more high priced lacs with small endowments will be taking a hit.[/quote]

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