Reply to Harris beating Trump in Iowa

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Ann Selzer was on Morning Joe and said the biggest change in her Iowa poll was the shift in the likely voter demographics. All the Harris voter demos polled as more likely to turn out. Her poll also shows Democratic challengers ahead of Republican incumbents in House districts 1 and 3. [/quote]

She oversampled Democrats in her poll. She admitted she doesn’t even weight for partisanship in her poll. What kind of reputable pollster creates a Democrat electorate in a state that has been leaning more and more Republican? Republicans gained in voter registration since 2020.[/quote]

One who has accurately polled the state for the last decade. One who has correctly predicted 4 of the last 5 elections. One who was the canary in the coal mine for DEMOCRATS when she saw HRC and Biden losing ground and Trump's strength in the midwest in 2016 and 2020.

A lot of us didn't want to hear what she was saying in 2016, sorry the buck is falling on the other side of the road this time around.[/quote]
+1

It would be an interesting book end to the whole Trump digression if Ann Selzer was the bellwether in 2016 that foretold doom for Democrats and in 2024 foretold doom for Republicans. [/quote]
It would also be a thing of beauty of Trump began his political career by losing in Iowa and ended it by also losing Iowa.[/quote]

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