Reply to FCPS Boundary Review Updates

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I'm getting lost in all these different discussions. Are there any communities who truly think their school is overcrowded and boundaries should be changed or are unhappy with a split feeder/attendance island and like the idea of realigning? Any at all? [/quote]

We are at Irving/West Springfield, I have students at both schools. I am not in a house where there is a proposed boundary change (so I have no dog in the fight), but I don't think either school needs relief from crowding. They are full and large schools, but my kids are having good experiences and don't think the schools are over crowded. Their classrooms are reasonable size and always in a real classroom, the cafeteria has empty tables at every lunch, and it works.

So, no, I don't think anyone in our community was saying, "wow I really wish they'd relieve the overcrowding at our schools" and the boundary study and CIP predictions felt very out of the blue. [/quote]

Different poster from the area.

There are also big drops in enrollment in that area which the CIP projections and the THRU numbers are completely ignoring.

FCPS CIP is using projections from some secret formula.  Thru is only looking at school membership from September 2024.   If you look at school membership beyond the current numbers, there is going to be a clear drop in enrollment.

Fall 2026, when rezoning is implemented,  WSHS will have a fairly decent drop in enrollment when Class of 2026 graduates because the current Irving 7th grade is almost 140 fewer students, 718 for class of 2026 vs 581 for the current Irving 7th grade.  Even if all 50-60 of the AAP kids return from Lake Braddock AAP along with the usual dozen Catholic school kids,  there is still an enrollment drop of around 60-70 students.

The current 6th grade will make Irving a little bigger next year, but then there is a HUGE drop in the current 5th grade enrollment, who will be the 7th grade class when rezoning starts in 2026, and the 9th grade class in 2028.

Enrollment in that pyramid is with stable, or a steady decline after the 5th grade class, with another huge drop with the kindergarten class.

Thru did not take any of the immediate future enrollment drops or the long term enrollment drops into account when developing their rezoning plan.  The used current membership, ie attendance, at each school based of fall 2024 numbers, which makes little sense because the rezoning affects 2026 and beyond.[/quote]

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