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Reply to "Which Dem can win general election in 2020?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Great analysis :-)[/quote] Thanks! I just spent a few minutes playing on 270towin.com and it appears that, if the Democrats can take MN, MI, WI, and PA, that puts them at 268 only needing NV, NH, or FL for the win. FL is the hardest to flip IMO but would leave some margin for error with the rust-belt states and their outcomes tend not to be highly correlated due to the vastly different demographics. One other twist is that the Democrats, if they had 268, could target both NE-2 and ME-2 -- both of which would put them at 270 as well. Although an Electoral College tie would go to the House, votes are by state delegations (26 out of 50 to win) and Republicans have more of those even as the minority party.[/quote]
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