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[quote=Anonymous]Some of these are entirely possible and even likely, others are just straight up impossible without some extraordinary measures employed to make it happen.
>Dems can and possibly will eliminate California’s remaining four GOP districts (+1-4) 
>They will probably draw a 8-0 or 7-1 map before 2028 in Colorado (+3-4)
>Dems can draw a 17-0 or 16-1 map in Illinois, but it’ll be the most hideous baconmander you’ve ever seen, and likely require them dismantling all of their minority-majority districts (+2-3)
>Democrats can theoretically redraw an 8-0 map in Maryland, but it’s extremely rush with Larry Hogan appointees controlling the Supreme Court. If they lose a lawsuit, the stunt could backfire and they may actually lose a seat there (-1 to +1)
>Democrats have no ability to legally redrawing Minnesota at the moment. They don’t even have a trifecta in the state. Their only path would be to hijack the Minnesota Supreme Court and force a new map drawn by Dem judges. Considering that Minnesota already has a fair map, doing this would mean all bets are off and the national implications of such a thing could be drastic. ( +0 I don’t see this happening at the moment)
>Democrats would have to amend the New Jersey constitution. They have the votes to do this in the legislature as well as the general public. The bigger problem is trying to peel off two GOP seats, which is what they probably would aim for. (+1-2)
>Democrats tried to force through an extreme gerrymander in New York after the 2020 census and were defeated in court. Since then, the Court of Appeals has moved further to the Left. It’s not impossible for them to eliminate about three or four GOP held districts, though one of them already voted for Harris in 2024 (+3-4)
>There’s basically nothing stopping Democrats from abolishing the remaining GOP district in Oregon, aside from internal party debates over who gets what part of Portland (+1)
>See above with Minnesota. Pennsylvania already has a fair map and Democrats have no ability to redraw the state outside of direct intervention by the Supreme Court. Doing so would be an egregious power grab that goes far beyond anything any Red state has attempted thus far. Even trying to do this would have unforeseen consequences. (+0)
>Washington State and Wisconsin is in the same situation as PA and MN. Democrats have no legal path to redrawing either. They don’t have the votes to amend the state constitution in Washington, and they don’t hold a trifecta in Wisconsin, so their only option is judicial fiat. I don’t know what they expect to happen if they try to pull this stunt in three separate states, but they’re dangerously delusional if they believe America will ever be the same after weaponizing the courts like this.
Overall, we’re probably looking at a swing of 10-19 seats between now and 2028. That’s enough to more than offset the redraws we’re expected to see in the South as a result of the Callais decision. The GOP will have to expand the map by revisiting Indiana, going after the St. Louis seat in Missouri, eliminating two of the Dem seats in Ohio, dismantling the Omaha seat in Nebraska, undoing the Dem gerrymandering in Utah, and being even more aggressive in Florida and Texas.
If Republicans aren’t prepared to do all of this to counter what’s coming they will lose the redistricting war. At some point we’ll see both sides begin to run out of targets and it’s a just a matter of which side is willing to go further to win. That entails going after Dem seats in Kansas and Kentucky, which I haven’t colored on this map.
There will be a host of loser-cons in the GOP, particularly in states in Indiana and Utah who will refuse to go along with this. [/quote]

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